
<oai_dc:dc xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/">
  <dc:date>2023</dc:date>
  <dc:description xml:lang="eng">Abstract
In the last three years, Serbia led a very expansionary fiscal policy, with a
fiscal deficit higher than the average of the countries of Central and Eastern
Europe (CEE)1
 and the Western Balkans2
. This led to a significant rise in
public debt in absolute terms, while public debt-to-GDP ratio increased only
slightly, due to the currency structure of debt, the unchanged exchange
rate of the dinar against the euro, and high inflation. At the end of 2022,
Serbia was the European median in terms of public debt, although the
debt was above the average of comparable CEE countries. Despite the
moderate level of debt, public interest expenditures and the effective
interest rate on Serbia’s public debt are relatively high in European terms,
which is a consequence of the fact that financial markets in less developed
countries see the limit of sustainability of public finances at a lower level of
indebtedness than in developed countries. Tightening of monetary policy
in the world will trigger the further increase of government spending on
interest, which may crowd-out more productive public expenditures or
narrow the room for tax cuts, which is why it is especially important to
keep the public debt at a lower level in the coming period. At the end
of 2022, Serbia implemented a fundamental reform of fiscal rules. The
advantage of the new fiscal rules is reflected in a lower deficit target and
a more detailed elaboration of the government’s response mechanisms
to violations of the rules. Raising the public debt ceiling to the upper
limit of the prohibitive zone, the elimination of countercyclical elements
in the deficit rule and the absence of clear escape clauses for periods of
crisis may pose a limitation. The new fiscal rules could contribute to the
sustainability of Serbia’s fiscal policy, provided that their consistent and
continuous application is ensured.</dc:description>
  <dc:description xml:lang="srp">Sažetak
U prethodne tri godine Srbija je vodila vrlo ekspanzivnu fiskalnu politiku,
sa fiskalnim deficitom većim od proseka zemalja Centralne i Istočne
Evrope (CIE) i Zapadnog Balkana. To je dovelo do znatnog rasta javnog
duga u apsolutnom iznosu, ali je odnos javnog duga i BDP-a porastao
relativno malo, zbog devizne strukture javnog duga, nepromenjenog
kursa dinara prema evru i visoke inflacije. Krajem 2022. godine, Srbija
je prema visini javnog duga bila evropska medijana, mada je dug bio
iznad proseka uporedivih zemalja CIE. I pored umerenog nivoa duga,
javni rashodi na kamate i efektivna kamatna stopa na javni dug Srbije
su u evropskim razmerama relativno visoki, što je posledica činjenice
da finansijska tržišta u manje razvijenim državama granicu održivosti
javnih finansija vide na nižem nivou zaduženosti nego u razvijenim
državama. Zatezanje monetarne politike u svetu uticaće na dalje
povećanje troškova kamata, koji istiskuju produktivnije javne rashode ili
prostor za smanjenje poreza, zbog čega je posebno važno u narednom
periodu javni dug držati na nižem nivou. Srbija je krajem 2022. godine
izvršila temeljnu reformu fiskalnih pravila. Prednost novih fiskalnih pravila
ogleda se u nižem ciljanom deficitu i detaljnijoj razradi mehanizama
reagovanja države na kršenje pravila. Podizanje limita javnog duga na
gornju granicu prohibitivne zone, eliminacija kontracikličnih elemenata
u pravilu vezanom za fiskalni deficit i odsustvo korektivnih mehanizama
za krizne periode, mogu predstavljati ograničenja. Nova fiskalna pravila
bi mogla da doprinesu održivosti fiskalne politike Srbije, pod uslovom
da se obezbedi njihova dosledna i kontinuirana primena.</dc:description>
  <dc:title xml:lang="eng">SUSTAINABILITY OF FISCAL FRAMEWORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SERBIA</dc:title>
  <dc:creator id="https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8445-9756">Ranđelović, Saša</dc:creator>
  <dc:language>eng</dc:language>
  <dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
  <dc:format>301194 bytes</dc:format>
  <dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/review</dc:type>
  <dc:source>Ekonomika preduzeća 71(1-2)</dc:source>
  <dc:rights>All rights reserved</dc:rights>
  <dc:subject xml:lang="eng">Keywords: fiscal policy, fiscal rules, fiscal framework and economic growth</dc:subject>
  <dc:subject xml:lang="srp">Ključne reči: fiskalna politika, fiskalna pravila, fiskalni okvir i privredni rast</dc:subject>
  <dc:identifier>https://phaidrabg.bg.ac.rs/o:32701</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>doi: 10.5937/EKOPRE2302101R</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>ISSN: 0353-443X</dc:identifier>
</oai_dc:dc>
