
<oai_dc:dc xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/">
  <dc:date>2022</dc:date>
  <dc:language>eng</dc:language>
  <dc:description xml:lang="eng">Abstract:
This paper researches two volatility transmission phenomena that take place within
(‘heat wave’) and between (‘meteor shower’) spot and futures markets of four precious metals—gold, silver, platinum and palladium. We create conditional volatilities
by considering three types of Markov switching GARCH models in combination with
three different distribution functions. Conditional volatilities are subsequently embedded in Markov switching mean model. We find that ‘heat wave’ effect is more intense
than ‘meteor shower’ effect, and this applies for both spot and futures markets of all
precious metals. The results indicate that ‘heat wave’ effect is more intense in high
than in low volatility periods, and also this effect is stronger in futures markets than in
spot markets. ‘Meteor shower’ effect is stronger in low volatility regime than in high
volatility regime, which is particularly true for the futures markets. Rolling regression
results are in line with switching parameters. In addition, we find that ‘meteor shower’
effect, from futures to spot market, is stronger when short-term futures are analysed
vis-à-vis long-term futures.</dc:description>
  <dc:subject xml:lang="eng">Keywords: Inter and intra volatility transmission effect; Markov switching models in mean and variance; Precious metals; Spot and futures markets</dc:subject>
  <dc:rights>All rights reserved</dc:rights>
  <dc:creator>Živkov, Dejan</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator id="https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2730-3215 https://plus.cobiss.net/cobiss/sr/sr/conor/12719207">Manić, Slavica</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>Pavkov, Ivan</dc:creator>
  <dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
  <dc:format>1286612 bytes</dc:format>
  <dc:identifier>https://phaidrabg.bg.ac.rs/o:29619</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>doi:10.1007/s00181-021-02148-7</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>ISSN: 0377-7332</dc:identifier>
  <dc:source>Empirical Economics(63)</dc:source>
  <dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</dc:type>
  <dc:title xml:lang="eng">Nonlinear examination of the ‘Heat Wave’ and ‘Meteor Shower’ effects between spot and futures markets of the precious metals</dc:title>
</oai_dc:dc>
