info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceProceedings https://phaidrabg.bg.ac.rs/o:28804 application/pdf 346329 bytes KLJUČNE REČI: EKONOMSKE RECESIJE, GLAVNI TOK MAKROEKONOMIJE, NEOLIBERALIZAM, PANDEMIJA COVID-19 KEYWORDS: ECONOMIC RECESSIONS, MAINSTREAM MACROECONOMICS, NEOLIBERALISM, COVID-19 PANDEMIC Apstrakt: Rad je posvećen istraživanju važnijih promena do kojih je u razvoju makroekonomske misli došlo usled velikih ekonomskih recesija tokom XX veka i u prvim decenijama XXI veka, uz prognozu kakve će promene iznedriti tekuća recesija izazvana pandemijom korona virusa. Analizira se u kojoj su meri recesije bile stvarne prekretnice i da li su podstakle rascep i neslaganja u makroekonomiji, ili su podstakle postizanje novih konsenzusa. U tom kontekstu se i razmatra pozicija dominantnog neoliberalizma koga je u bliskoj prošlosti uzdrmala Velika recesija (2007-09), da bi se danas nalazio pred velikim iskušenjima koje su mu trenutna zdravstvena kriza generisana pandemijom bolesti COVID-19, a zatim i ekonomska kriza nametnule. Danas se pred makroekonomiju stavlja primarni zadatak da prognozira efekte različitih mera ekonomske politike za kojima trenutno posežu države širom sveta, kao i da se prognozira dužina trajanja i oštrina recesije koja je pandemijom izazvana. Naravno, nezavidno stanje u kome se globalna ekonomija kao i ekonomska misao danas nalaze, samo su delimično posledica pandemije, dok su dobrim delom rezultat višegodišnjih ekonomskih problema koji su pandemijom samo produbljeni. Oni su rezultat i višegodišnje krize makroekonomske misli, čiji je dominantni tok zasnovan na neoliberalnim ekonomskim idejama oličenim u monetarizmu i Novoj klasici, a sublimiranih kroz formu konsenzusa u makroekonomiji poznatog kao nova neoklasična sinteza. Abstract: The paper analyzes important changes that occurred in the development of macroeconomic thought due to major economic recessions during the XX century and in the first decades of the XXI century, with a prediction of what changes will be caused by the current recession caused by the coronavirus pandemic. It analyzes the extent to which recessions were real milestones and whether they encouraged divisions and disagreements in macroeconomics, or encouraged the achievement of new consensus. In that context, the position of the dominant neoliberalism is being considered, when in the recent past it was shaken by the Great Recession (2007-09), and today it is facing great temptations imposed on it by the current COVID 19 pandemic crisis which generated economic crisis. Today, macroeconomics is faced with the primary task of predicting the effects of various economic policy measures currently being implemented by governments around the world, as well as predicting the duration and severity of the recession caused by the pandemic. Of course, the undesirable state in which the global economy and macroeconomic thought are today only partly a consequence of the pandemic, while they are largely the result of many years of economic problems that have only deepened the pandemic. They are also the result of many years of crisis of macroeconomic thought, whose mainstream is based on neoliberal economic ideas embodied in monetarism and the New Classics, and sublimated through a form of consensus in macroeconomics known as the new neoclassical synthesis. Uticaj ekonomskih recesija na razvoj savremene makroekonomije srp All rights reserved Tematski zbornik radova Stanje i perspektive ekonomske misli : uticaj ekonomskih recesija u prvim decenijama XXI veka 2021 Praščević, Aleksandra